Thursday · September 3 · 7:15 pm ✦
RED SOX @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
RED SOX
6
Orioles
5
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 6–5 Red Sox
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games