Friday · September 4 · 7:05 pm ✦
RED SOX @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 86 degrees, overcast, wind 6 mph l to r
Final
RED SOX
1
Orioles
0
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 1–0 Red Sox
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games