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Saturday · August 22 · 7:05 pm ✦

RAYS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from rf

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

Projected: 4–3 · 4 of 6 sims agree

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Orioles Projected
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 52% 48%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 38% 62%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 4–3

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

61–60

50% across 121 games

Orioles this season

67–53

56% across 120 games