Saturday · August 22 · 7:05 pm ✦
RAYS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from rf
Final
Rays
2
ORIOLES
3
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 2–3 Orioles
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games