Sunday · August 23 · 1:38 PM ✦
RAYS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph out to rf
Final
RAYS
3
Orioles
1
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–1 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games