Friday · August 21 · 7:15 pm ✦
RAYS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from rf
Final
Rays
3
ORIOLES
5
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–5 Orioles
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 35% | 65% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games