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Tuesday · August 18 · 6:35 pm ✦

YANKEES @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph l to r

Final

YANKEES 3
Orioles 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 3–1 Yankees

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Orioles Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Logistic New York Yankees 54% 46% — ✓
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 54% 46% 4–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games