Back to the recap

Tuesday · August 18 · 6:35 pm ✦

YANKEES @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph l to r

Final

YANKEES 3
Orioles 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 3–1 Yankees

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Orioles Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic New York Yankees 54% 46%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 47% 53%
Consensus New York Yankees 54% 46% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

63–58

52% across 121 games

Orioles this season

67–53

56% across 120 games