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Thursday · August 6 ✦

ANGELS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Final

ANGELS 4
Orioles 1

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 4–1 Angels

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 39% 61%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 43% 57%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 46% 54% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

68–54

56% across 122 games

Orioles this season

67–54

55% across 121 games