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Tuesday · August 4 · 6:35 pm ✦

ANGELS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from cf

Final

Angels 1
ORIOLES 3

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 1–3 Orioles

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% 3–4
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 53% 47%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 43% 57%
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 52% 48% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

68–54

56% across 122 games

Orioles this season

67–54

55% across 121 games