Saturday · August 1 · 7:05 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf
Final
PHILLIES
5
Orioles
0
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–0 Phillies
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 52% | 48% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games