Sunday · July 26 · 1:37 PM ✦
BRAVES @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r
Final
BRAVES
3
Orioles
2
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–2 Braves
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 58% | 42% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games