Saturday · July 25 · 7:05 pm ✦
BRAVES @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph in from rf
Final
Braves
2
ORIOLES
3
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–3 Orioles
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 69% | 31% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 69% | 31% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
63–61
51% across 124 games
Orioles this season
67–54
55% across 121 games