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Saturday · July 25 · 7:05 pm ✦

BRAVES @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph in from rf

Final

Braves 2
ORIOLES 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–3 Orioles

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 69% 31% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 69% 31% 5–3
Logistic Atlanta Braves 60% 40%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 45% 55%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 60% 40% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

63–61

51% across 124 games

Orioles this season

67–54

55% across 121 games