Friday · July 24 · 7:05 pm ✦
BRAVES @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf
Final
BRAVES
7
Orioles
6
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 7–6 Braves
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 38% | 62% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
63–61
51% across 124 games
Orioles this season
67–54
55% across 121 games