← Back to the recap

Saturday · July 11 · 7:05 pm ✦

ROYALS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 82 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph out to lf

Final

Royals 1
ORIOLES 6

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 1–6 Orioles

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 40% 60% — ✓
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games