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Saturday · July 11 · 7:05 pm ✦

ROYALS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 82 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph out to lf

Final

Royals 1
ORIOLES 6

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 1–6 Orioles

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 52% 48%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 40% 60%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–59

53% across 125 games

Orioles this season

67–55

55% across 122 games