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Sunday · July 12 · 1:37 PM ✦

ROYALS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 81 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph r to l

Final

Royals 2
ORIOLES 8

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 2–8 Orioles

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 36% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 54% 46%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 44% 56%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 50% 50% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–59

53% across 125 games

Orioles this season

67–55

55% across 122 games