Wednesday · July 8 · 6:35 pm ✦
CUBS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf
Final
CUBS
9
Orioles
7
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 9–7 Cubs
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games