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Wednesday · July 8 · 6:35 pm ✦

CUBS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf

Final

CUBS 9
Orioles 7

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 9–7 Cubs

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 60% 40% 4–4
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 50% 50%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 41% 59%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 50% 50% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

61–63

49% across 124 games

Orioles this season

67–55

55% across 122 games