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Friday · July 10 · 7:05 pm ✦

ROYALS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf

Final

Royals 3
ORIOLES 5

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–5 Orioles

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 4–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 50% 50%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 41% 59%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–59

53% across 125 games

Orioles this season

67–55

55% across 122 games