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Friday · July 10 · 7:05 pm ✦

ROYALS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf

Final

Royals 3
ORIOLES 5

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–5 Orioles

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 41% 59% — ✓
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games