Tuesday · July 7 · 6:35 pm ✦
CUBS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 80 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph in from rf
Final
CUBS
5
Orioles
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 5–2 Cubs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games