Sunday · June 28 · 1:38 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf
Final
NATIONALS
6
Orioles
4
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–4 Nationals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 58% | 42% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
45–41
52% across 86 games
Orioles this season
46–37
55% across 83 games