Back to the recap

Sunday · June 14 · 1:37 PM ✦

PADRES @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to cf

Final

PADRES 5
Orioles 2

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 5–2 Padres

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 45% 55%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 39% 61%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

54–30

64% across 84 games

Orioles this season

47–37

56% across 84 games