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Friday · June 26 · 7:05 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 87 degrees, cloudy, wind 3 mph out to rf

Final

Nationals 1
ORIOLES 3

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 1–3 Orioles

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 31% 69% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 53% 47% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 45% 55%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 61% 39%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

45–41

52% across 86 games

Orioles this season

46–37

55% across 83 games