Saturday · June 27 · 7:05 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 80 degrees, overcast, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
NATIONALS
4
Orioles
3
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 4–3 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games