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Friday · June 12 · 7:05 pm ✦

PADRES @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

Padres 3
ORIOLES 7

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 3–7 Orioles

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Orioles Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 3–4
Logistic San Diego Padres 51% 49%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 42% 58%
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

54–30

64% across 84 games

Orioles this season

47–37

56% across 84 games