Thursday · June 11 · 7:05 pm ✦
MARINERS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 91 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf
Final
Mariners
5
ORIOLES
7
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 5–7 Orioles
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
55–30
65% across 85 games
Orioles this season
47–37
56% across 84 games