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Saturday · June 13 · 4:05 PM ✦

PADRES @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 86 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r

Final

PADRES 9
Orioles 3

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 9–3 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 47% 53%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 55% 45%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

54–30

64% across 84 games

Orioles this season

47–37

56% across 84 games