Saturday · June 13 · 4:05 PM ✦
PADRES @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 86 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
PADRES
9
Orioles
3
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 9–3 Padres
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
78–47
62% across 125 games
Orioles this season
68–55
55% across 123 games