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Monday · June 8 · 6:35 pm ✦

MARINERS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

MARINERS 6
Orioles 3

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 6–3 Mariners

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Seattle Mariners 56% 44% — ✓
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% — ✗
Consensus Seattle Mariners 50% 50% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games