Tuesday · June 9 · 6:35 pm ✦
MARINERS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to lf
Final
MARINERS
6
Orioles
5
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–5 Mariners
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games