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Tuesday · June 9 · 6:35 pm ✦

MARINERS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to lf

Final

MARINERS 6
Orioles 5

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–5 Mariners

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 3–4
Logistic Seattle Mariners 53% 47%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 41% 59%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 48% 52% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

55–30

65% across 85 games

Orioles this season

47–37

56% across 84 games