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Sunday · May 31 · 12:17 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 69 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph r to l

Final

Blue Jays 5
ORIOLES 9

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 5–9 Orioles

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% — ✓
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% — ✓
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games