Saturday · May 30 ✦
BLUE JAYS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Final
Blue Jays
5
ORIOLES
6
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 5–6 Orioles
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games