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Thursday · May 28 ✦

BLUE JAYS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Final

BLUE JAYS 2
Orioles 1

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 2–1 Blue Jays

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 41% 59% — ✗
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 50% 50% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games