Thursday · May 28 ✦
BLUE JAYS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Final
BLUE JAYS
2
Orioles
1
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 2–1 Blue Jays
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 50% | 50% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
42–45
48% across 87 games
Orioles this season
47–38
55% across 85 games