Friday · May 29 ✦
BLUE JAYS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Final
BLUE JAYS
6
Orioles
5
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–5 Blue Jays
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 65% | 35% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 46% | 54% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games