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Wednesday · May 27 ✦

RAYS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Final

Rays 2
ORIOLES 11

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 2–11 Orioles

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 44% 56%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 50% 50%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

42–42

50% across 84 games

Orioles this season

47–38

55% across 85 games