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Tuesday · May 26 ✦

RAYS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Final

Rays 1
ORIOLES 6

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 1–6 Orioles

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 43% 57%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 49% 51%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 41% 59% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

42–42

50% across 84 games

Orioles this season

47–38

55% across 85 games