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Monday · May 25 · 1:37 PM ✦

RAYS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 69 degrees, rain, wind 2 mph out to lf

Final

Rays 7
ORIOLES 9

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 7–9 Orioles

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 38% 62% 2–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 52% 48%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 54% 46%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 46% 54% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

42–42

50% across 84 games

Orioles this season

47–38

55% across 85 games