Sunday · May 24 · 12:37 PM ✦
TIGERS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 58 degrees, overcast, wind 3 mph in from cf
Final
Tigers
3
ORIOLES
5
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–5 Orioles
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 29% | 71% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games