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Friday · May 22 ✦

TIGERS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Final

Tigers 4
ORIOLES 7

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 4–7 Orioles

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 43% 57%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 44% 56%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games

Orioles this season

26–17

60% across 43 games