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Tuesday · May 12 ✦

YANKEES @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Final

YANKEES 6
Orioles 2

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–2 Yankees

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Orioles Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 58% 42% 5–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 58% 42% 5–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 41% 59% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 50% 50% — ✗
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games