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Tuesday · May 12 ✦

YANKEES @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Final

YANKEES 6
Orioles 2

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–2 Yankees

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Orioles Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 58% 42% 5–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 58% 42% 5–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 41% 59%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 50% 50%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games

Orioles this season

26–17

60% across 43 games