Monday · May 11 ✦
YANKEES @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Final
Yankees
2
ORIOLES
3
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 2–3 Orioles
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Yankees | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Yankees | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 38% | 62% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 30% | 70% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Yankees this season
83–76
52% across 159 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games