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Sunday · May 10 · 1:39 PM ✦

ATHLETICS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph r to l

Final

Athletics 1
ORIOLES 2

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Athletics · Actual: 1–2 Orioles

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Athletics 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 56% 44% 4–4
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 42% 58%
Random Forest Athletics 51% 49%
Consensus Athletics 52% 48% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Orioles this season

26–17

60% across 43 games