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Friday · May 8 · 7:07 PM ✦

ATHLETICS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 70 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

ATHLETICS 4
Orioles 3

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Athletics · Actual: 4–3 Athletics

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 51% 49% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 64% 36% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Athletics 62% 38% 5–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 4–4
Logistic Athletics 51% 49%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 44% 56%
Consensus Athletics 52% 48% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Orioles this season

26–17

60% across 43 games