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Tuesday · April 28 · 6:38 PM ✦

ASTROS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 59 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

Astros 3
ORIOLES 5

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–5 Orioles

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 35% 65% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 67% 33% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–4
Logistic Houston Astros 56% 44%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 39% 61%
Consensus Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games