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Saturday · April 25 · 12:05 PM ✦

RED SOX @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 57 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph in from rf

Final

RED SOX 17
Orioles 1

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 17–1 Red Sox

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 47% 53% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 35% 65% 3–4
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 41% 59%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 50% 50%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games