Sunday · April 26 · 1:37 PM ✦
RED SOX @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 53 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph in from lf
Final
RED SOX
5
Orioles
3
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 5–3 Red Sox
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
32–13
71% across 45 games
Orioles this season
28–17
62% across 45 games