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Tuesday · April 14 ✦

D-BACKS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Final

D-BACKS 4
Orioles 3

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 6–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–3 D-backs

65%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 76% 24% 6–3
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 76% 24% 6–4
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 82% 18% 6–3
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 82% 18% 7–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 45% 55%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 44% 56%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 65% 35% 6–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

27–18

60% across 45 games

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games