Friday · April 24 · 7:05 pm ✦
RED SOX @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 70 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph r to l
Final
Red Sox
3
ORIOLES
10
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–10 Orioles
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games