Monday · April 13 ✦
D-BACKS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Final
D-backs
7
ORIOLES
9
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 7–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 7–9 Orioles
61%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76% | 24% | 6–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 71% | 29% | 6–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 87% | 13% | 7–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 84% | 16% | 8–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 28% | 72% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 61% | 39% | 7–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
27–18
60% across 45 games
Orioles this season
28–17
62% across 45 games