Friday · April 10 · 7:15 pm ✦
GIANTS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 67 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph out to lf
Final
GIANTS
6
Orioles
3
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–3 Giants
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Giants | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 27% | 73% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Francisco Giants | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Francisco Giants | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Giants this season
29–17
63% across 46 games
Orioles this season
28–17
62% across 45 games