Sunday · March 29 · 1:35 pm ✦
TWINS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 55 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf
Final
Twins
6
ORIOLES
8
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 6–8 Orioles
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 56% | 44% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 40% | 60% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
23–24
49% across 47 games
Orioles this season
28–17
62% across 45 games