Thursday · September 24 · 7:15 pm ✦
REDS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r
Final
REDS
7
Braves
6
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 7–6 Reds
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 36% | 64% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 35% | 65% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 41% | 59% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games