Tuesday · September 22 · 7:15 pm ✦
REDS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 83 degrees, cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf
Final
REDS
4
Braves
0
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–0 Reds
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 33% | 67% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games