Sunday · September 13 · 1:37 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf
Final
PHILLIES
9
Braves
4
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–5 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 9–4 Phillies
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 27% | 73% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 4–5 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games